云南民族大学学报(哲学社会科学版)

本文基于2011—2023年中国249个城市的面板数据，聚焦敏感性更强的旅游业，采用OLS模型、Logit模型与可解释机器学习相结合的方法，系统检验了数智化对城市旅游业韧性的多重影响。研究发现：数智化对城市旅游业韧性具有促进作用，且该影响呈现非线性递增特征，并存在明显的“阈值效应”;数智化的赋能效果受城市包容性绿色增长与要素市场错配的调节，前者增强其促进作用，后者则会抑制该作用；数智化对旅游业韧性的提升作用在收缩趋势增强型城市、绿色工业城市及文旅消费示范(试点)城市中表现效果显著，对枢纽城市的赋能效应显著高于孤立型城市，而净流出型城市受益不足；数智化通过提升城市在旅游业韧性网络中的度中心性，增强其信息枢纽与协同治理能力，形成“内外协调”的韧性提升机制。基于此，本文从推动数智化赋能强度与制度适配、实施差异化赋能策略、强化城市协同与联动等方面，提出区域城市旅游业韧性提升的对策建议。

Using the panel data from 249 Chinese cities from 2011 to 2023, this study examines the tourism industry, a highly sensitivity-prone sector, and systematically explores the multifaceted impacts of digital intelligence on the urban tourism resilience by employing an empirical strategy that integrates Ordinary Least Squares(OLS), Logit, and interpretable machine learning models. It has the following findings:(1) Digital intelligence significantly strengthens the urban tourism resilience, exhibiting a nonlinearly increasing effect and a pronounced “threshold effect”.(2) This empowerment effect is moderated by the urban green and inclusive growth and factor market distortions: the former amplifies the positive influence, while the latter significantly inhibits it.(3) The resilience-enhancing effect of digital intelligence on tourism resilience is most pronounced in the shrinking cities, green industrial cities, and designated pilot cities for cultural tourism consumption. Furthermore, the empowering effect is significantly greater in the hub cities than in the isolated cities, while the net-outflow cities experience relatively limited benefits.(4) Digital intelligence improves the cities' network centrality within the tourism resilience network, strengthening their capabilities as information hubs and enhancing their collaborative governance, thereby forming an “internal-external coordination” mechanism for improving the tourism resilience. Based on these, this paper proposes some policy recommendations for improving the tourism resilience of regional cities through enhancing the intensity and institutional alignment of digital-intelligence empowerment, implementing differentiated empowerment strategies, and fostering intercity collaborative linkages.